Arabic version: لجنة في هيئة تداول السلع الآجلة تناقش ضمانات أسواق التنبؤ

According to Cnbc, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s first Innovation Advisory Committee meeting convened Thursday to examine prediction-market regulation, with particular attention to self-certification and so-called mention markets. The committee has more than 30 members and includes representatives from Robinhood, Nasdaq and CME, while Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan and Kalshi co-founder Luana Lopes Lara attended the roughly three-hour meeting.

CFTC Chairman Michael Selig, the only official on the agency’s normally five-member commission board, said the committee would provide input on decisions intended to strengthen market regulation. Discussions initially covered crypto and artificial intelligence, but prediction markets produced the most intense debate. Members considered a regulatory roadmap as well as the potential for manipulation in contracts tied to words used in speeches or earnings calls.

CME Group Chair and CEO Terry Duffy criticized the self-certification process, under which prediction-market platforms may propose, file and certify event contracts without prior CFTC approval. Duffy said there had been 2,500 self-certifications since the administration took office in January 2025, with none opposed, and argued that some products violated core principles. Lopes Lara defended self-certification as necessary to make markets available quickly for users.

Robinhood co-founder and CEO Vlad Tenev also raised concerns about mention markets, though he did not call for an outright ban. Selig outlined a three-part approach: amending rules governing contracts the CFTC can prohibit, modernizing reporting for fully collateralized event contracts, and proposing further changes to how designated contract markets list contracts while strengthening consumer protections. He said the agency also needs to define “gaming” and clarify public-interest criteria.